A Thumb on the Scales: How the Court Creates Presumptions to Change the Law

Leubsdorf, John

Journal: Northern Illinois University Law Review

Volume: 46

First Page: 180

Year: 2026

Bluebook Citation: 46 N. ILL. U. L. REV. 180 (2026)

Author: John Leubsdorf: all 21 publications


Abstract

In four major recent decisions, the Supreme Court deployed the same technique: it created a presumption in favor of the result it preferred and then concluded that the losing party could not rebut that presumption. This invocation of presumptions enabled the majority to reach the result it preferred, while maintaining the appearance of balance and leaving open the possibility of different rulings in future cases. The asserted grounds for erecting the Court’s presumptions-notably history and governmental structure-likewise combined the appearance of objectivity with the reality of choice. Judicial presumptions are not new, but the current Court deploys them on a strikingly sweeping scale.

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